Year 2054: Week 2 - Data Search

If we consider the "Principle of Continuity" and "Principle of Analogy" we can get a sense of future. This means that consditions in the past will continue in the future.

URBAN GROWTH

Izmir's urban are growed a lot over the years which means that it will continue to spread in the future as well. The sprawl will me mostly through north and south axis since the city is landlocked on the east and west with the mountains and sea. Despite the sprawl the density will also rise which will produce stress on the urban life of the citizens of Izmir

PRECIPITATION

Precipitation of Izmir become unbalanced a lot in the last years which indicates that it will be even a lot more unbalanced in the future. One month will be very wet with floods while the other month will be very dry.

Recent Years vs Future

POPULATION

If we calculate the population growth rate between 1960 and 2000 we can estimate that the population in the 2054 will hit 7 million mark. This is quite an extreme increase of population and we should question that what will these people will do, how they will live etc.

INCIRALTI TRANSFORMATION

Depending on the google eart views we can see what has changed in Inciraltı and in Balçova between 2000 and 2014. In this 14 years of time we can observe a lot of changes. Some new roads are opened, there are less agricultural facilities on the land, lagoon seems to be "grown" a bit when we look at the condition of the lagoon borders, there are more residental development/malls/consumption, and a new cityforest is built on the vicinity of the lagoon which should be protected in the future since this is one of the most valuable last green areas so close to citycenter of Izmir

2000 vs 2014

SOIL TYPES

Soil type of Inciraltı is mainly alluvion soil which is perfect for agriculture but in the recent years the soil get drier because of the Balçova Dam. Balçova Dam prevented both Ilıca river and underground water reaching to Inciraltı which effected the agriculture negatively in Inciraltı.